Avellino x Foggia Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie C Group C

Our betting tip for Avellino x Foggia, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 15:45

Avellino 2.00

X 3.23

Foggia 3.37

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Avellino x Foggia:

🔮 Avellino wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Avellino, you can win up to $1000.00!

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Important information for your tip for Avellino x Foggia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Avellino in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-250.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Foggia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-275.0. 👉 In the last 4 Avellino matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Avellino has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Foggia playing at home.

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Analysis from Avellino x Foggia for the Italy Serie C Group C – 29 of September

When the best bet on Avellino x Foggia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Avellino x Foggia

Should you bet on Avellino?

🔵 Avellino: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 61.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 610 times – profiting $610.00;
• And would lose other 390 times – having a loss of -$390.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$220.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.23. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $512.90;
• And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$257.10.

Is it a good idea to bet on Foggia?

🔴 Foggia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.37. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – profiting $379.20;
• And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$460.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Avellino x Foggia

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Avellino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Avellino x Foggia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Avellino and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Avellino.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Foggia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Avellino x Foggia

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.