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Home » Predictions » Others » Avenida x Caxias RS Betting tips for February 5 in Brazil Campeonato Gaucho
Wednesday, 05 February 2025, 22h00 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho
Avenida Avenida
PREDICTION Avenida wins Probability 42% 1 X 2
Caxias RS Caxias RS
ODD: @3.12 Don't miss this prediction!

Avenida x Caxias RS Betting tips for February 5 in Brazil Campeonato Gaucho

Our betting tip for Avenida x Caxias RS, Wednesday, 5/2/2025
📅 5/2/2025
22:00
Avenida Avenida
3.12
X
2.87
Caxias RS Caxias RS
2.28

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Avenida x Caxias RS:

🔮 Avenida wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Avenida, you can win up to $1560.00!

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The main points for the tip for Avenida x Caxias RS:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Avenida in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-70.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Caxias RS in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-102.0.
👉 Avenida did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team.
👉 Avenida did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 4 Avenida matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Avenida x Caxias RS, with Avenida as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Avenida x Caxias RS for the Brazil Campeonato Gaucho – 5 of February

🏟️ Avenida X Caxias RS – Brazil Campeonato Gaucho
📅 5 of February, 2025 – 22:00
🔵 Avenida – Winning probability: 42.08% | Fair line: 2.38
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.10% | Fair line: 3.98
🔴 Caxias RS – Winning probability: 32.82% | Fair line: 3.05
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Avenida
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Avenida and Caxias RS.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1257906 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Avenida x Caxias RS

Should you bet on Avenida?

🔵 Avenida: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $890.40
  • And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$310.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.87. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $467.50
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$282.50.

Is it worth betting on Caxias RS?

🔴 Caxias RS: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $422.40
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$247.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Avenida x Caxias RS

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Avenida
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Avenida x Caxias RS

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Avenida, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Avenida.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Avenida x Caxias RS

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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