Aviles Stadium CF x Lealtad Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Tercera Group 2

Our betting tip for Aviles Stadium CF x Lealtad, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 11:00

Aviles Stadium CF 5.75

X 3.80

Lealtad 1.48

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Aviles Stadium CF x Lealtad:

🔮 Lealtad wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lealtad, you can win up to $740.00!

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The main points for the tip for Aviles Stadium CF x Lealtad: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Aviles Stadium CF in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $200.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lealtad in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-306.0. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Aviles Stadium CF x Lealtad, with Aviles Stadium CF as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Aviles Stadium CF conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Lealtad.

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Analysis from Aviles Stadium CF x Lealtad for the Spain Tercera Group 2 – 12 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Aviles Stadium CF x Lealtad right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Aviles Stadium CF x Lealtad

Is betting on Aviles Stadium CF worth it?

🔵 Aviles Stadium CF: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $190.00;
• And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$770.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $420.00
• And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$430.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Lealtad?

🔴 Lealtad: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 81.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 810 times – profiting $388.80;
• And would have lost other 190 times – with a loss of -$190.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$198.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Aviles Stadium CF x Lealtad

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Aviles Stadium CF
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aviles Stadium CF x Lealtad

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 Aviles Stadium CF, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Aviles Stadium CF.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Lealtad.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aviles Stadium CF x Lealtad

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.