📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Ayr x St Mirren
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Analysis from Ayr x St Mirren for the Scotland FA Cup – 22 of January
🏟️ Ayr X St Mirren – Scotland FA Cup
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ayr and St Mirren.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 290605 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Ayr x St Mirren
Is it worth betting on Ayr?
🔵 Ayr: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $378.00;
- And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$412.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $462.00
- And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$328.00.
Should you bet on St Mirren?
🔴 St Mirren: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 580 times – profiting $809.10;
- And would have lost other 420 times – with a loss of -$420.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$389.10.
Handicaps analysis for the match Ayr x St Mirren
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Ayr
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ayr x St Mirren
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Ayr and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Ayr.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 St Mirren.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ayr x St Mirren
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
Our tipsters are also on our betting tips channel on YouTube analysing the main bets for Saturday. Right above you can check our latest predictions and do not forget to subscribe to our channel!
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves