AZ Picerno ASD x ACR Messina Betting tips for September 30 in Italy Serie C Group C

Our betting tip for AZ Picerno ASD x ACR Messina, Monday, 30/9/2024

📅 30/9/2024 15:30

AZ Picerno ASD 1.65

X 3.40

ACR Messina 4.61

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for AZ Picerno ASD x ACR Messina:

🔮 AZ Picerno ASD wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AZ Picerno ASD, you can win up to $825.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for AZ Picerno ASD x ACR Messina: 👉 If you had bet $100 on AZ Picerno ASD in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $245.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on ACR Messina in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 ACR Messina matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 9 matches as the away team, ACR Messina conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 AZ Picerno ASD has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against ACR Messina playing at home.

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Analysis from AZ Picerno ASD x ACR Messina for the Italy Serie C Group C – 30 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AZ Picerno ASD x ACR Messina right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1191189 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AZ Picerno ASD x ACR Messina

Is it a good idea to bet on AZ Picerno ASD?

🔵 AZ Picerno ASD: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 69.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 700 times – profiting $455.00;
• And would lose other 300 times – having a loss of -$300.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$155.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $528.00;
• And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$252.00.

Is it worth betting on ACR Messina?

🔴 ACR Messina: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.61. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $324.90
• And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$585.10.

Handicaps analysis for the match AZ Picerno ASD x ACR Messina

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 AZ Picerno ASD
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AZ Picerno ASD x ACR Messina

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 AZ Picerno ASD, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 AZ Picerno ASD.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 ACR Messina.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AZ Picerno ASD x ACR Messina

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.