📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for AZ Reserves x VVV
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Analysis from AZ Reserves x VVV for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 21 of January
🏟️ AZ Reserves X VVV – Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AZ Reserves x VVV right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290581 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for AZ Reserves x VVV
Is it worth betting on AZ Reserves?
🔵 AZ Reserves: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.19. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $535.50;
- And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$14.50.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 150 times – profiting $387.00;
- And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$463.00.
Should you bet on VVV?
🔴 VVV: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $752.00
- And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$152.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match AZ Reserves x VVV
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 AZ Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AZ Reserves x VVV
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 AZ Reserves and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 AZ Reserves.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AZ Reserves x VVV
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves