Badalona Futur x SCR Pena Deportiva Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3

Our betting tip for Badalona Futur x SCR Pena Deportiva, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 07:00

Badalona Futur 1.98

X 3.10

SCR Pena Deportiva 3.54

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Badalona Futur x SCR Pena Deportiva:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Badalona Futur x SCR Pena Deportiva

Some important points for the tip for Badalona Futur x SCR Pena Deportiva: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Badalona Futur in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-305.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on SCR Pena Deportiva in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, SCR Pena Deportiva scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against SCR Pena Deportiva, Badalona Futur scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Badalona Futur matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, SCR Pena Deportiva conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Badalona Futur has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against SCR Pena Deportiva playing at home.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Badalona Futur x SCR Pena Deportiva?

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Analysis from Badalona Futur x SCR Pena Deportiva for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 – 29 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Badalona Futur and SCR Pena Deportiva.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Badalona Futur x SCR Pena Deportiva

Is it a good idea to bet on Badalona Futur?

🔵 Badalona Futur: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.98. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 570 times – having a profit of $558.60;
• And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$128.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – profiting $567.00;
• And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$163.00.

Is betting on SCR Pena Deportiva worth it?

🔴 SCR Pena Deportiva: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $406.40
• And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$433.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Badalona Futur x SCR Pena Deportiva

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Badalona Futur
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Badalona Futur x SCR Pena Deportiva

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Badalona Futur, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Badalona Futur.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Badalona Futur x SCR Pena Deportiva

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.