Baglan Dragons x Caerau Ely Betting tips for January 11 in Wales Championship South
| 📅 11/1/2025 14:00 |
 Baglan Dragons2.41 |
X 3.50 |
Caerau Ely  2.40 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Baglan Dragons x Caerau Ely:
👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Baglan Dragons x Caerau Ely
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The main points for the tip for Baglan Dragons x Caerau Ely: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Baglan Dragons in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-160.0. |
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Baglan Dragons x Caerau Ely?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Baglan Dragons x Caerau Ely, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Baglan Dragons x Caerau Ely for the Wales Championship South – 11 of January
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🏟️ Baglan Dragons X Caerau Ely – Wales Championship South |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Baglan Dragons and Caerau Ely.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244516 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Baglan Dragons x Caerau Ely
Is it worth betting on Baglan Dragons?
🔵 Baglan Dragons: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.41. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $394.80
- And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$325.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 280 times – profiting $700.00;
- And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$20.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is betting on Caerau Ely worth it?
🔴 Caerau Ely: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 440 times – profiting $616.00;
- And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$56.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Baglan Dragons x Caerau Ely
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Baglan Dragons
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Baglan Dragons x Caerau Ely
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Baglan Dragons, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Baglan Dragons.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Baglan Dragons x Caerau Ely
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.
