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Home » Predictions » Bahir Dar Kenema FC x Hadiya Hossana Betting tips for October 1 in Ethiopia Premier League
Tuesday, 01 October 2024, 13h00 Ethiopia Premier League
Bahir Dar Kenema FC Bahir Dar Kenema FC
PREDICTION No tip
Hadiya Hossana Hadiya Hossana
Don't miss this prediction!

Bahir Dar Kenema FC x Hadiya Hossana Betting tips for October 1 in Ethiopia Premier League

Our betting tip for Bahir Dar Kenema FC x Hadiya Hossana, Tuesday, 1/10/2024
📅 1/10/2024
13:00
Bahir Dar Kenema FC Bahir Dar Kenema FC
2.25
X
2.89
Hadiya Hossana Hadiya Hossana
3.11

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Bahir Dar Kenema FC x Hadiya Hossana:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Bahir Dar Kenema FC x Hadiya Hossana

Some important points for the tip for Bahir Dar Kenema FC x Hadiya Hossana:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bahir Dar Kenema FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-150.0.
👉 In the last 3 Bahir Dar Kenema FC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Bahir Dar Kenema FC x Hadiya Hossana?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Bahir Dar Kenema FC x Hadiya Hossana, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Bahir Dar Kenema FC x Hadiya Hossana for the Ethiopia Premier League – 1 of October

🏟️ Bahir Dar Kenema FC X Hadiya Hossana – Ethiopia Premier League
📅 1 of October, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 Bahir Dar Kenema FC – Winning probability: 41.94% | Fair line: 2.38
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.29% | Fair line: 3.0
🔴 Hadiya Hossana – Winning probability: 24.77% | Fair line: 4.04
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Bahir Dar Kenema FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bahir Dar Kenema FC x Hadiya Hossana right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1192611 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bahir Dar Kenema FC x Hadiya Hossana

Is it a good idea to bet on Bahir Dar Kenema FC?

🔵 Bahir Dar Kenema FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $525.00
  • And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$55.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.89. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $623.70;
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$46.30.

Should you bet on Hadiya Hossana?

🔴 Hadiya Hossana: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.77%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.11. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $527.50;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$222.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bahir Dar Kenema FC x Hadiya Hossana

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Bahir Dar Kenema FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bahir Dar Kenema FC x Hadiya Hossana

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Bahir Dar Kenema FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Bahir Dar Kenema FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Hadiya Hossana.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bahir Dar Kenema FC x Hadiya Hossana

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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