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Home » Predictions » Others » Bahir Dar Kenema FC x Sidama Bunna Betting tips for October 30 in Ethiopia Premier League
Wednesday, 30 October 2024, 13h00 Ethiopia Premier League
Bahir Dar Kenema FC Bahir Dar Kenema FC
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 36% 1 X 2
Sidama Bunna Sidama Bunna
ODD: @3.01 Don't miss this prediction!

Bahir Dar Kenema FC x Sidama Bunna Betting tips for October 30 in Ethiopia Premier League

Our betting tip for Bahir Dar Kenema FC x Sidama Bunna, Wednesday, 30/10/2024
📅 30/10/2024
13:00
Bahir Dar Kenema FC Bahir Dar Kenema FC
2.08
X
3.01
Sidama Bunna Sidama Bunna
3.45

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Bahir Dar Kenema FC x Sidama Bunna:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1505.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Bahir Dar Kenema FC x Sidama Bunna:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bahir Dar Kenema FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $65.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Sidama Bunna scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Bahir Dar Kenema FC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Bahir Dar Kenema FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Sidama Bunna.
👉 Sidama Bunna is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 4 wins in a row in its last road matches.
👉 Even as a visitor, Sidama Bunna won the last 3 head-to-head matches Bahir Dar Kenema FC´s territory

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Summary

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Analysis from Bahir Dar Kenema FC x Sidama Bunna for the Ethiopia Premier League – 30 of October

🏟️ Bahir Dar Kenema FC X Sidama Bunna – Ethiopia Premier League
📅 30 of October, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 Bahir Dar Kenema FC – Winning probability: 34.18% | Fair line: 2.93
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.70% | Fair line: 2.73
🔴 Sidama Bunna – Winning probability: 29.13% | Fair line: 3.43
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Bahir Dar Kenema FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Bahir Dar Kenema FC x Sidama Bunna is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1212778 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bahir Dar Kenema FC x Sidama Bunna

Is betting on Bahir Dar Kenema FC worth it?

🔵 Bahir Dar Kenema FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.08. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – profiting $367.20;
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$292.80.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.01. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $743.70
  • And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$113.70.

Is betting on Sidama Bunna worth it?

🔴 Sidama Bunna: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $710.50;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$0.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bahir Dar Kenema FC x Sidama Bunna

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Bahir Dar Kenema FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bahir Dar Kenema FC x Sidama Bunna

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Bahir Dar Kenema FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Bahir Dar Kenema FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Sidama Bunna.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bahir Dar Kenema FC x Sidama Bunna

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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