Bala Town x Caernarfon Town Betting tips for January 11 in Wales Premier League
| 📅 11/1/2025 12:45 |
 Bala Town1.70 |
X 3.72 |
Caernarfon Town  4.00 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Bala Town x Caernarfon Town:
🔮 Bala Town wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bala Town, you can win up to $850.00!
|
Important information for your tip for Bala Town x Caernarfon Town: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Caernarfon Town in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-338.0. |
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Bala Town x Caernarfon Town?
Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2025, you just have to click and bet:
Analysis from Bala Town x Caernarfon Town for the Wales Premier League – 11 of January
|
🏟️ Bala Town X Caernarfon Town – Wales Premier League |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Bala Town and Caernarfon Town.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Bala Town x Caernarfon Town
Is it worth betting on Bala Town?
🔵 Bala Town: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 65.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 650 times – having a profit of $455.00;
- And would lose other 350 times – losing -$350.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$105.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – profiting $598.40;
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$181.60.
Is betting on Caernarfon Town worth it?
🔴 Caernarfon Town: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $390.00;
- And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$480.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Bala Town x Caernarfon Town
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Bala Town
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bala Town x Caernarfon Town
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Bala Town and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Bala Town.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Caernarfon Town.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bala Town x Caernarfon Town
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.
