📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Bali Utd Pusam FC x Persita Tangerang
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Analysis from Bali Utd Pusam FC x Persita Tangerang for the Indonesia Liga 1 – 17 of January
🏟️ Bali Utd Pusam FC X Persita Tangerang – Indonesia Liga 1
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bali Utd Pusam FC x Persita Tangerang right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288303 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Bali Utd Pusam FC x Persita Tangerang
Is it a good idea to bet on Bali Utd Pusam FC?
🔵 Bali Utd Pusam FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 73.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.51. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 740 times – having a profit of $377.40;
- And would have lost other 260 times – with a loss of -$260.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$117.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.83. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 190 times – profiting $536.75;
- And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$273.25.
Is it a good idea to bet on Persita Tangerang?
🔴 Persita Tangerang: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $311.50
- And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$618.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Bali Utd Pusam FC x Persita Tangerang
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Bali Utd Pusam FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bali Utd Pusam FC x Persita Tangerang
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Bali Utd Pusam FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Bali Utd Pusam FC.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Bali Utd Pusam FC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bali Utd Pusam FC x Persita Tangerang
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves