Ballyclare Comrades x Crusaders Betting tips for October 1 in Northern Ireland League Cup
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1/10/2024 15:45 |
Ballyclare Comrades 5.00 |
X 4.30 |
Crusaders 1.48 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Ballyclare Comrades x Crusaders:
๐ฎ Crusaders wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Crusaders, you can win up to $740.00!
Some important points for the tip for Ballyclare Comrades x Crusaders: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Ballyclare Comrades in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $25.0. |
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Analysis from Ballyclare Comrades x Crusaders for the Northern Ireland League Cup – 1 of October
๐๏ธ Ballyclare Comrades X Crusaders – Northern Ireland League Cup |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ballyclare Comrades x Crusaders right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1192611 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Ballyclare Comrades x Crusaders
Is it a good idea to bet on Ballyclare Comrades?
๐ต Ballyclare Comrades: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $200.00
- And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$750.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $165.00;
- And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$785.00.
Should you bet on Crusaders?
๐ด Crusaders: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 90.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 900 times – having a profit of $432.00;
- And would lose other 100 times – losing -$100.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$332.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Ballyclare Comrades x Crusaders
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Ballyclare Comrades
โฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ballyclare Comrades x Crusaders
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Ballyclare Comrades, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 Ballyclare Comrades.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 Ballyclare Comrades.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ballyclare Comrades x Crusaders
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.