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Home ยป Predictions ยป Ballyclare Comrades x Crusaders Betting tips for October 1 in Northern Ireland League Cup
Tuesday, 01 October 2024, 15h45 Northern Ireland League Cup
Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades
PREDICTION Crusaders Wins Probability 90% 1 X 2
Crusaders Crusaders
ODD: @1.48 Don't miss this prediction!

Ballyclare Comrades x Crusaders Betting tips for October 1 in Northern Ireland League Cup

Our betting tip for Ballyclare Comrades x Crusaders, Tuesday, 1/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 1/10/2024
15:45
Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades
5.00
X
4.30
Crusaders Crusaders
1.48

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Ballyclare Comrades x Crusaders:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Crusaders wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Crusaders, you can win up to $740.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Ballyclare Comrades x Crusaders:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Ballyclare Comrades in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $25.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Crusaders in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $143.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Ballyclare Comrades scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 Ballyclare Comrades matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 9 matches as the home team, Ballyclare Comrades conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Ballyclare Comrades x Crusaders?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Ballyclare Comrades x Crusaders for the Northern Ireland League Cup – 1 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Ballyclare Comrades X Crusaders – Northern Ireland League Cup
๐Ÿ“… 1 of October, 2024 – 15:45
๐Ÿ”ต Ballyclare Comrades – Winning probability: 4.73% | Fair line: 21.14
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 4.84% | Fair line: 20.67
๐Ÿ”ด Crusaders – Winning probability: 90.43% | Fair line: 1.11
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Ballyclare Comrades
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ballyclare Comrades x Crusaders right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1192611 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Ballyclare Comrades x Crusaders

Is it a good idea to bet on Ballyclare Comrades?

๐Ÿ”ต Ballyclare Comrades: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $200.00
  • And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$750.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $165.00;
  • And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$785.00.

Should you bet on Crusaders?

๐Ÿ”ด Crusaders: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 90.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 900 times – having a profit of $432.00;
  • And would lose other 100 times – losing -$100.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$332.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Ballyclare Comrades x Crusaders

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Ballyclare Comrades
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ballyclare Comrades x Crusaders

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Ballyclare Comrades, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 Ballyclare Comrades.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 Ballyclare Comrades.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ballyclare Comrades x Crusaders

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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