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Home » Predictions » Others » Ballymena Utd x Larne FC Betting tips for March 11 in Northern Ireland Premier
Tuesday, 11 March 2025, 19h45 Northern Ireland Premier
Ballymena Utd Ballymena Utd
PREDICTION Larne FC Wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
Larne FC Larne FC
ODD: @1.8 Don't miss this prediction!

Ballymena Utd x Larne FC Betting tips for March 11 in Northern Ireland Premier

Our betting tip for Ballymena Utd x Larne FC, Tuesday, 11/3/2025
📅 11/3/2025
19:45
Ballymena Utd Ballymena Utd
3.60
X
3.40
Larne FC Larne FC
1.80

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Ballymena Utd x Larne FC:

🔮 Larne FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Larne FC, you can win up to $900.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Ballymena Utd x Larne FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Ballymena Utd in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-255.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Larne FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-175.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Ballymena Utd scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Ballymena Utd x Larne FC for the Northern Ireland Premier – 11 of March

🏟️ Ballymena Utd X Larne FC – Northern Ireland Premier
📅 11 of March, 2025 – 19:45
🔵 Ballymena Utd – Winning probability: 21.34% | Fair line: 4.69
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.61% | Fair line: 5.37
🔴 Larne FC – Winning probability: 60.05% | Fair line: 1.67
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Ballymena Utd
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Ballymena Utd x Larne FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1279005 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ballymena Utd x Larne FC

Should you bet on Ballymena Utd?

🔵 Ballymena Utd: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $546.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$244.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $456.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$354.00.

Should you bet on Larne FC?

🔴 Larne FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 60.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 600 times – profiting $480.00;
  • And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$80.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Ballymena Utd x Larne FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Ballymena Utd
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ballymena Utd x Larne FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Ballymena Utd and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Ballymena Utd.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Larne FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ballymena Utd x Larne FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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