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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Banga Gargzdai x FK Dziugas Telsiai Betting tips for April 16 in Lithuania A Lyga
Wednesday, 16 April 2025, 15h30 Lithuania A Lyga
Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai
PREDICTION No tip
FK Dziugas Telsiai FK Dziugas Telsiai
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Banga Gargzdai x FK Dziugas Telsiai Betting tips for April 16 in Lithuania A Lyga

Our betting tip for Banga Gargzdai x FK Dziugas Telsiai, Wednesday, 16/4/2025
πŸ“… 16/4/2025
15:30
Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai
2.58
X
3.10
FK Dziugas Telsiai FK Dziugas Telsiai
2.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Banga Gargzdai x FK Dziugas Telsiai:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Banga Gargzdai x FK Dziugas Telsiai

The main points for the tip for Banga Gargzdai x FK Dziugas Telsiai:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Banga Gargzdai in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-170.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FK Dziugas Telsiai in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $745.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Banga Gargzdai scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 FK Dziugas Telsiai matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Banga Gargzdai x FK Dziugas Telsiai, with Banga Gargzdai as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Banga Gargzdai x FK Dziugas Telsiai:

Analysis from Banga Gargzdai x FK Dziugas Telsiai for the Lithuania A Lyga – 16 of April

🏟️ Banga Gargzdai X FK Dziugas Telsiai – Lithuania A Lyga
πŸ“… 16 of April, 2025 – 15:30
πŸ”΅ Banga Gargzdai – Winning probability: 48.56% | Fair line: 2.06
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.95% | Fair line: 3.34
πŸ”΄ FK Dziugas Telsiai – Winning probability: 21.49% | Fair line: 4.65
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Banga Gargzdai
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Banga Gargzdai x FK Dziugas Telsiai is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1304980 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Banga Gargzdai x FK Dziugas Telsiai

Is it a good idea to bet on Banga Gargzdai?

πŸ”΅ Banga Gargzdai: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.58. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $774.20;
  • And would have lost other 510 times – with a loss of -$510.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$264.20.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $630.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$70.00.

Should you bet on FK Dziugas Telsiai?

πŸ”΄ FK Dziugas Telsiai: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $315.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$475.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Banga Gargzdai x FK Dziugas Telsiai

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Banga Gargzdai
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Banga Gargzdai x FK Dziugas Telsiai

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Banga Gargzdai, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Banga Gargzdai.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 FK Dziugas Telsiai.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Banga Gargzdai x FK Dziugas Telsiai

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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