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Home » Predictions » Banga Gargzdai x Hegelmann Litauen Betting tips for September 29 in Lithuania Cup
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 11h00 Lithuania Cup
Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai
PREDICTION Hegelmann Litauen Wins Probability 77% 1 X 2
Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen
ODD: @1.6 Don't miss this prediction!

Banga Gargzdai x Hegelmann Litauen Betting tips for September 29 in Lithuania Cup

Our betting tip for Banga Gargzdai x Hegelmann Litauen, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
11:00
Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai
4.68
X
3.60
Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen
1.60

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Banga Gargzdai x Hegelmann Litauen:

🔮 Hegelmann Litauen wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Hegelmann Litauen, you can win up to $800.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Banga Gargzdai x Hegelmann Litauen:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Banga Gargzdai in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $13.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Hegelmann Litauen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-68.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Banga Gargzdai scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 10 matches as the away team, Hegelmann Litauen scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Banga Gargzdai x Hegelmann Litauen, with Banga Gargzdai as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Hegelmann Litauen conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Banga Gargzdai conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Hegelmann Litauen.
👉 Even as a visitor, Hegelmann Litauen won the last 3 head-to-head matches Banga Gargzdai´s territory

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Banga Gargzdai x Hegelmann Litauen?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Banga Gargzdai x Hegelmann Litauen, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Banga Gargzdai x Hegelmann Litauen for the Lithuania Cup – 29 of September

🏟️ Banga Gargzdai X Hegelmann Litauen – Lithuania Cup
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 11:00
🔵 Banga Gargzdai – Winning probability: 10.12% | Fair line: 9.88
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.82% | Fair line: 7.8
🔴 Hegelmann Litauen – Winning probability: 77.06% | Fair line: 1.3
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Banga Gargzdai
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Banga Gargzdai x Hegelmann Litauen is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Banga Gargzdai x Hegelmann Litauen

Is it worth betting on Banga Gargzdai?

🔵 Banga Gargzdai: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.68. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $368.00;
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$532.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $338.00
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$532.00.

Should you bet on Hegelmann Litauen?

🔴 Hegelmann Litauen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 77.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 770 times – this would give you a profit of $462.00
  • And would lose other 230 times – losing -$230.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$232.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Banga Gargzdai x Hegelmann Litauen

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Banga Gargzdai
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Banga Gargzdai x Hegelmann Litauen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Banga Gargzdai and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Banga Gargzdai.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Hegelmann Litauen.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Banga Gargzdai x Hegelmann Litauen

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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