Bangu x Boavista RJ Betting tips for February 5 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca

Our betting tip for Bangu x Boavista RJ, Wednesday, 5/2/2025

📅 5/2/2025 21:00

Bangu 3.22

X 3.10

Boavista RJ 2.04

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Bangu x Boavista RJ:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Bangu x Boavista RJ

Important information for your tip for Bangu x Boavista RJ: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bangu in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-175.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Boavista RJ in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-100.0. 👉 Bangu did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 3 Boavista RJ matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Bangu x Boavista RJ, with Bangu as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Bangu conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Bangu as home team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last home matches.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Bangu x Boavista RJ?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Bangu x Boavista RJ:

Analysis from Bangu x Boavista RJ for the Brazil Campeonato Carioca – 5 of February

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bangu x Boavista RJ right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1257906 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bangu x Boavista RJ

Is betting on Bangu worth it?

🔵 Bangu: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $333.00
• And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$517.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $651.00
• And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$39.00.

Is it worth betting on Boavista RJ?

🔴 Boavista RJ: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 54.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.04. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $561.60;
• And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$101.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Bangu x Boavista RJ

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Bangu
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bangu x Boavista RJ

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Bangu, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Bangu.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Boavista RJ.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bangu x Boavista RJ

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.