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Home » Predictions » Others » Bangu x Portuguesa RJ Betting tips for January 11 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 22h00 Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Bangu Bangu
PREDICTION Portuguesa RJ Wins Probability 76% 1 X 2
Portuguesa RJ Portuguesa RJ
ODD: @2.48 Don't miss this prediction!

Bangu x Portuguesa RJ Betting tips for January 11 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca

Our betting tip for Bangu x Portuguesa RJ, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
22:00
Bangu Bangu
2.65
X
3.01
Portuguesa RJ Portuguesa RJ
2.48

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Bangu x Portuguesa RJ:

🔮 Portuguesa RJ wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Portuguesa RJ, you can win up to $1240.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Bangu x Portuguesa RJ:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bangu in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-175.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Portuguesa RJ in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-343.0.
👉 Portuguesa RJ received red cards in the last 3 matches as the away team.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Bangu conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Bangu x Portuguesa RJ?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Bangu x Portuguesa RJ for the Brazil Campeonato Carioca – 11 of January

🏟️ Bangu X Portuguesa RJ – Brazil Campeonato Carioca
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 22:00
🔵 Bangu – Winning probability: 9.41% | Fair line: 10.63
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.52% | Fair line: 6.89
🔴 Portuguesa RJ – Winning probability: 76.07% | Fair line: 1.31
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Bangu
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bangu x Portuguesa RJ right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244796 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bangu x Portuguesa RJ

Is it worth betting on Bangu?

🔵 Bangu: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $148.50;
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$761.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.01. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $301.50;
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$548.50.

Should you bet on Portuguesa RJ?

🔴 Portuguesa RJ: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 76.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 760 times – having a profit of $1124.80;
  • And would lose other 240 times – losing -$240.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$884.80.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Bangu x Portuguesa RJ

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Bangu
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bangu x Portuguesa RJ

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Bangu, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Bangu.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bangu x Portuguesa RJ

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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