Barcelona B x Sestao River Betting tips for April 13 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for Barcelona B x Sestao River, Sunday, 13/4/2025

📅 13/4/2025 16:00

Barcelona B 2.30

X 3.10

Sestao River 2.80

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Barcelona B x Sestao River:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Barcelona B x Sestao River

The main points for the tip for Barcelona B x Sestao River: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Barcelona B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-175.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sestao River in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Sestao River scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Barcelona B matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Sestao River conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Sestao River has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Barcelona B x Sestao River for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 – 13 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Barcelona B x Sestao River right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1302187 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Barcelona B x Sestao River

Is it a good idea to bet on Barcelona B?

🔵 Barcelona B: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $585.00
• And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$35.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $483.00;
• And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$287.00.

Is betting on Sestao River worth it?

🔴 Sestao River: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $576.00;
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$104.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Barcelona B x Sestao River

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Barcelona B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Barcelona B x Sestao River

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Barcelona B and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Barcelona B.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Barcelona B x Sestao River

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.