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Home » Predictions » Others » Barcelona Guayaquil x Club Atletico Libertad Betting tips for September 29 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 19h30 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Barcelona Guayaquil Barcelona Guayaquil
PREDICTION Barcelona Guayaquil wins Probability 90% 1 X 2
Club Atletico Libertad Club Atletico Libertad
ODD: @1.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Barcelona Guayaquil x Club Atletico Libertad Betting tips for September 29 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A

Our betting tip for Barcelona Guayaquil x Club Atletico Libertad, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
19:30
Barcelona Guayaquil Barcelona Guayaquil
1.30
X
4.68
Club Atletico Libertad Club Atletico Libertad
8.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Barcelona Guayaquil x Club Atletico Libertad:

🔮 Barcelona Guayaquil wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Barcelona Guayaquil, you can win up to $650.00!

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Important information for your tip for Barcelona Guayaquil x Club Atletico Libertad:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Barcelona Guayaquil in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $227.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Club Atletico Libertad in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $1020.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Barcelona Guayaquil scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Barcelona Guayaquil is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Barcelona Guayaquil x Club Atletico Libertad?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Barcelona Guayaquil x Club Atletico Libertad, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Barcelona Guayaquil x Club Atletico Libertad for the Ecuador LigaPro Serie A – 29 of September

🏟️ Barcelona Guayaquil X Club Atletico Libertad – Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 19:30
🔵 Barcelona Guayaquil – Winning probability: 90.24% | Fair line: 1.11
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 7.84% | Fair line: 12.76
🔴 Club Atletico Libertad – Winning probability: 1.93% | Fair line: 51.88
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Barcelona Guayaquil
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Barcelona Guayaquil x Club Atletico Libertad right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1191083 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Barcelona Guayaquil x Club Atletico Libertad

Is it worth betting on Barcelona Guayaquil?

🔵 Barcelona Guayaquil: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 90.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 900 times – this would give you a profit of $270.00
  • And would lose other 100 times – losing -$100.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$170.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.68. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $294.40;
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$625.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on Club Atletico Libertad?

🔴 Club Atletico Libertad: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – profiting $150.00;
  • And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$830.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Barcelona Guayaquil x Club Atletico Libertad

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Barcelona Guayaquil
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Barcelona Guayaquil x Club Atletico Libertad

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Barcelona Guayaquil, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Barcelona Guayaquil.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Barcelona Guayaquil.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Barcelona Guayaquil x Club Atletico Libertad

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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