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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Bari x Frosinone Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie B
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 16h15 Italy Serie B
Bari Bari
PREDICTION Frosinone Wins Probability 30% 1 X 2
Frosinone Frosinone
ODD: @3.79 Don't miss this prediction!

Bari x Frosinone Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for Bari x Frosinone, Sunday, 2/2/2025
๐Ÿ“… 2/2/2025
16:15
Bari Bari
2.04
X
3.12
Frosinone Frosinone
3.79

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Bari x Frosinone:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Frosinone wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Frosinone, you can win up to $1895.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Bari x Frosinone:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bari in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $290.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Frosinone in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-140.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Frosinone scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Bari x Frosinone, with Bari as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Frosinone conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Bari has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Frosinone playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Bari x Frosinone for the Italy Serie B – 2 of February

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Bari X Frosinone – Italy Serie B
๐Ÿ“… 2 of February, 2025 – 16:15
๐Ÿ”ต Bari – Winning probability: 40.15% | Fair line: 2.49
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.05% | Fair line: 3.44
๐Ÿ”ด Frosinone – Winning probability: 30.80% | Fair line: 3.25
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Bari
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Bari x Frosinone is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bari x Frosinone

Is betting on Bari worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Bari: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.04. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $416.00;
  • And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$184.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $614.80
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$95.20.

Should you bet on Frosinone?

๐Ÿ”ด Frosinone: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.79. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $864.90;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$174.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bari x Frosinone

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Bari
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bari x Frosinone

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Bari and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Bari.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bari x Frosinone

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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