📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Barnet x Oldham
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Analysis from Barnet x Oldham for the England National League – 22 of November
🏟️ Barnet X Oldham – England National League
When the best bet on Barnet x Oldham is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024629 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Barnet x Oldham
Is it a good idea to bet on Barnet?
🔵 Barnet: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 68.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 690 times – this would give you a profit of $517.50
- And would lose other 310 times – losing -$310.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$207.50.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $486.00
- And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$334.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Oldham?
🔴 Oldham: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.89. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 130 times – profiting $375.70;
- And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$494.30.
Handicaps analysis for the match Barnet x Oldham
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Barnet
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Barnet x Oldham
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Barnet and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Barnet.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Barnet.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Barnet x Oldham
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves