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Home » Predictions » Others » Barnsley x Bristol Rovers Betting tips for November 30 in England FA Cup
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 15h00 England FA Cup
Barnsley Barnsley
PREDICTION Barnsley wins Probability 74% 1 X 2
Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers
ODD: @1.59 Don't miss this prediction!

Barnsley x Bristol Rovers Betting tips for November 30 in England FA Cup

Our betting tip for Barnsley x Bristol Rovers, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
15:00
Barnsley Barnsley
1.59
X
4.14
Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers
5.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Barnsley x Bristol Rovers:

🔮 Barnsley wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Barnsley, you can win up to $795.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Barnsley x Bristol Rovers:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Barnsley in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-295.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bristol Rovers in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $200.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Bristol Rovers, Barnsley scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Barnsley x Bristol Rovers, with Barnsley as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Barnsley has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Bristol Rovers.

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Summary

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Analysis from Barnsley x Bristol Rovers for the England FA Cup – 30 of November

🏟️ Barnsley X Bristol Rovers – England FA Cup
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Barnsley – Winning probability: 74.46% | Fair line: 1.34
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.30% | Fair line: 12.04
🔴 Bristol Rovers – Winning probability: 17.24% | Fair line: 5.8
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Barnsley
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Barnsley x Bristol Rovers is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Barnsley x Bristol Rovers

Is it a good idea to bet on Barnsley?

🔵 Barnsley: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 74.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.59. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 740 times – this would give you a profit of $436.60
  • And would lose other 260 times – losing -$260.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$176.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.14. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $251.20
  • And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$668.80.

Is it worth betting on Bristol Rovers?

🔴 Bristol Rovers: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $680.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$150.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Barnsley x Bristol Rovers

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Barnsley
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Barnsley x Bristol Rovers

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Barnsley and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Barnsley. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Barnsley x Bristol Rovers

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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