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Home » Predictions » Barra dos Coqueiros SE x AD Carmopolis Betting tips for February 3 in Brazil Campeonato Sergipano
Monday, 03 February 2025, 19h00 Brazil Campeonato Sergipano
Barra dos Coqueiros SE Barra dos Coqueiros SE
PREDICTION AD Carmopolis Wins Probability 66% 1 X 2
AD Carmopolis AD Carmopolis
ODD: @1.84 Don't miss this prediction!

Barra dos Coqueiros SE x AD Carmopolis Betting tips for February 3 in Brazil Campeonato Sergipano

Our betting tip for Barra dos Coqueiros SE x AD Carmopolis, Monday, 3/2/2025
📅 3/2/2025
19:00
Barra dos Coqueiros SE Barra dos Coqueiros SE
3.80
X
3.40
AD Carmopolis AD Carmopolis
1.84

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Barra dos Coqueiros SE x AD Carmopolis:

🔮 AD Carmopolis wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AD Carmopolis, you can win up to $920.00!

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The main points for the tip for Barra dos Coqueiros SE x AD Carmopolis:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Barra dos Coqueiros SE in each of its last 4 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-195.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AD Carmopolis in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-225.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Barra dos Coqueiros SE conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Barra dos Coqueiros SE x AD Carmopolis for the Brazil Campeonato Sergipano – 3 of February

🏟️ Barra dos Coqueiros SE X AD Carmopolis – Brazil Campeonato Sergipano
📅 3 of February, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 Barra dos Coqueiros SE – Winning probability: 15.38% | Fair line: 6.5
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.98% | Fair line: 5.56
🔴 AD Carmopolis – Winning probability: 66.64% | Fair line: 1.5
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Barra dos Coqueiros SE
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Barra dos Coqueiros SE x AD Carmopolis right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1255653 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Barra dos Coqueiros SE x AD Carmopolis

Is it a good idea to bet on Barra dos Coqueiros SE?

🔵 Barra dos Coqueiros SE: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $420.00
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$430.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $432.00
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$388.00.

Is betting on AD Carmopolis worth it?

🔴 AD Carmopolis: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 66.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.84. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 670 times – this would give you a profit of $562.80
  • And would have lost other 330 times – with a loss of -$330.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$232.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Barra dos Coqueiros SE x AD Carmopolis

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Barra dos Coqueiros SE
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Barra dos Coqueiros SE x AD Carmopolis

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Barra dos Coqueiros SE and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Barra dos Coqueiros SE.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 AD Carmopolis.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Barra dos Coqueiros SE x AD Carmopolis

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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