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Home » Predictions » Others » Barracas Central x CA Tigre Betting tips for December 2 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Monday, 02 December 2024, 20h00 Argentina Liga Profesional
Barracas Central Barracas Central
PREDICTION CA Tigre Wins Probability 55% 1 X 2
CA Tigre CA Tigre
ODD: @2.38 Don't miss this prediction!

Barracas Central x CA Tigre Betting tips for December 2 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Barracas Central x CA Tigre, Monday, 2/12/2024
📅 2/12/2024
20:00
Barracas Central Barracas Central
3.02
X
3.00
CA Tigre CA Tigre
2.38

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Barracas Central x CA Tigre:

🔮 CA Tigre wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CA Tigre, you can win up to $1190.00!

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The main points for the tip for Barracas Central x CA Tigre:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Barracas Central in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CA Tigre in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $200.0.
👉 In the last 5 Barracas Central matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 CA Tigre matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Barracas Central conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Barracas Central x CA Tigre for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 2 of December

🏟️ Barracas Central X CA Tigre – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 2 of December, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Barracas Central – Winning probability: 14.58% | Fair line: 6.86
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.93% | Fair line: 3.34
🔴 CA Tigre – Winning probability: 55.49% | Fair line: 1.8
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Barracas Central
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Barracas Central x CA Tigre right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230608 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Barracas Central x CA Tigre

Should you bet on Barracas Central?

🔵 Barracas Central: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.02. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $303.00;
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$547.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $600.00;
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$100.00.

Is betting on CA Tigre worth it?

🔴 CA Tigre: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 550 times – profiting $759.00;
  • And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$309.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Barracas Central x CA Tigre

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Barracas Central
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Barracas Central x CA Tigre

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Barracas Central and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Barracas Central.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Barracas Central x CA Tigre

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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