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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Barry Town x Haverfordwest County Betting tips for January 13 in Wales Premier League
Monday, 13 January 2025, 19h45 Wales Premier League
Barry Town Barry Town
PREDICTION No tip
Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County
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Barry Town x Haverfordwest County Betting tips for January 13 in Wales Premier League

Our betting tip for Barry Town x Haverfordwest County, Monday, 13/1/2025
πŸ“… 13/1/2025
19:45
Barry Town Barry Town
3.25
X
4.00
Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County
1.88

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Barry Town x Haverfordwest County:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Barry Town x Haverfordwest County

The main points for the tip for Barry Town x Haverfordwest County:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Haverfordwest County in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-189.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 9 matches as the home team, Barry Town scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Haverfordwest County matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 Barry Town matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Barry Town conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Barry Town conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Haverfordwest County.

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Summary

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Analysis from Barry Town x Haverfordwest County for the Wales Premier League – 13 of January

🏟️ Barry Town X Haverfordwest County – Wales Premier League
πŸ“… 13 of January, 2025 – 19:45
πŸ”΅ Barry Town – Winning probability: 23.48% | Fair line: 4.26
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.91% | Fair line: 4.18
πŸ”΄ Haverfordwest County – Winning probability: 52.61% | Fair line: 1.9
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Barry Town
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Barry Town x Haverfordwest County right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1245169 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Barry Town x Haverfordwest County

Should you bet on Barry Town?

πŸ”΅ Barry Town: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $517.50
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$252.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $720.00
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$40.00.

Should you bet on Haverfordwest County?

πŸ”΄ Haverfordwest County: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $466.40;
  • And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$3.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Barry Town x Haverfordwest County

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Barry Town
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Barry Town x Haverfordwest County

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Barry Town and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Barry Town.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Haverfordwest County.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Barry Town x Haverfordwest County

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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