Basconia x Lagun Onak Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Tercera Group 4

Our betting tip for Basconia x Lagun Onak, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 15:00

Basconia 2.01

X 3.25

Lagun Onak 3.33

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Basconia x Lagun Onak:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Basconia x Lagun Onak

Important information for your tip for Basconia x Lagun Onak: 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Basconia scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Lagun Onak, Basconia scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Lagun Onak matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Lagun Onak conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Basconia conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Lagun Onak. 👉 Basconia has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Lagun Onak playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Basconia x Lagun Onak?

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Analysis from Basconia x Lagun Onak for the Spain Tercera Group 4 – 30 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Basconia and Lagun Onak.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Basconia x Lagun Onak

Should you bet on Basconia?

🔵 Basconia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.01. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 480 times – profiting $484.80;
• And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$35.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $720.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$40.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on Lagun Onak worth it?

🔴 Lagun Onak: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $466.00;
• And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$334.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Basconia x Lagun Onak

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Basconia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Basconia x Lagun Onak

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Basconia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Basconia.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Basconia x Lagun Onak

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.