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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Bath City x Worthing Betting tips for October 29 in England National League South
Tuesday, 29 October 2024, 19h45 England National League South
Bath City Bath City
PREDICTION No tip
Worthing Worthing
Don't miss this prediction!

Bath City x Worthing Betting tips for October 29 in England National League South

Our betting tip for Bath City x Worthing, Tuesday, 29/10/2024
πŸ“… 29/10/2024
19:45
Bath City Bath City
2.29
X
3.30
Worthing Worthing
2.71

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Bath City x Worthing:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Bath City x Worthing

Some important points for the tip for Bath City x Worthing:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bath City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $153.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Worthing in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $370.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Worthing scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Bath City conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Bath City x Worthing for the England National League South – 29 of October

🏟️ Bath City X Worthing – England National League South
πŸ“… 29 of October, 2024 – 19:45
πŸ”΅ Bath City – Winning probability: 44.36% | Fair line: 2.25
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.78% | Fair line: 3.47
πŸ”΄ Worthing – Winning probability: 26.85% | Fair line: 3.72
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Bath City
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bath City x Worthing right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1211436 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bath City x Worthing

Should you bet on Bath City?

πŸ”΅ Bath City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.29. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $567.60;
  • And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$7.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $667.00
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$43.00.

Is it worth betting on Worthing?

πŸ”΄ Worthing: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.71. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $461.70;
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$268.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bath City x Worthing

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Bath City
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bath City x Worthing

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Bath City, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Bath City.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Worthing.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bath City x Worthing

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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