Bath City x Worthing Betting tips for October 29 in England National League South
π
29/10/2024 19:45 |
Bath City 2.29 |
X 3.30 |
Worthing 2.71 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Bath City x Worthing:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Bath City x Worthing
Some important points for the tip for Bath City x Worthing: π If you had bet $100 on Bath City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $153.0. |
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Analysis from Bath City x Worthing for the England National League South – 29 of October
ποΈ Bath City X Worthing – England National League South |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bath City x Worthing right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1211436 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Bath City x Worthing
Should you bet on Bath City?
π΅ Bath City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.29. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $567.60;
- And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just π°$7.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Should you bet on draw?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $667.00
- And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$43.00.
Is it worth betting on Worthing?
π΄ Worthing: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.71. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $461.70;
- And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$268.30.
Handicaps analysis for the match Bath City x Worthing
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
β Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Bath City
β½ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bath City x Worthing
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Bath City, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Bath City.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Worthing.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bath City x Worthing
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.