BDF XI x Chadibe FC Betting tips for December 1 in Botswana Premier League
| 📅 1/12/2024 14:00 |
 BDF XI2.21 |
X 2.55 |
Chadibe FC  3.94 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for BDF XI x Chadibe FC:
👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for BDF XI x Chadibe FC
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The main points for the tip for BDF XI x Chadibe FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on BDF XI in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-75.0. |
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Analysis from BDF XI x Chadibe FC for the Botswana Premier League – 1 of December
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🏟️ BDF XI X Chadibe FC – Botswana Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for BDF XI x Chadibe FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for BDF XI x Chadibe FC
Is betting on BDF XI worth it?
🔵 BDF XI: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.77%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.21. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $532.40
- And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$27.60.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 360 times – profiting $558.00;
- And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$82.00.
Should you bet on Chadibe FC?
🔴 Chadibe FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.94. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $588.00;
- And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$212.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match BDF XI x Chadibe FC
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 BDF XI
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for BDF XI x Chadibe FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 BDF XI and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 BDF XI.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for BDF XI x Chadibe FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.
