Bedford Town x Merthyr Town Betting tips for November 8 in England National League North
| 📅 8/11/2025 15:00 |
Bedford Town2.09 |
X 3.60 |
Merthyr Town ![]() 2.89 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Bedford Town x Merthyr Town:
👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Bedford Town x Merthyr Town
Some important points for the tip for Bedford Town x Merthyr Town:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bedford Town in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Merthyr Town in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $1040.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Merthyr Town scored at least 2 goal(s).
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Bedford Town x Merthyr Town?
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Analysis from Bedford Town x Merthyr Town for the England National League North – 8 of November
🏟️ Bedford Town X Merthyr Town – England National League North
📅 8 of November, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 Bedford Town – Winning probability: 46.08% | Fair line: 2.17
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.92% | Fair line: 4.56
🔴 Merthyr Town – Winning probability: 32.00% | Fair line: 3.13
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Bedford Town
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.75 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bedford Town x Merthyr Town right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1434165 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Bedford Town x Merthyr Town
Is betting on Bedford Town worth it?
🔵 Bedford Town: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 46.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.09. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 460 times – this would give you a profit of $501.40
- And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$38.60.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $572.00;
- And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$208.00.
Is it worth betting on Merthyr Town?
🔴 Merthyr Town: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.89. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 320 times – profiting $604.80;
- And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$75.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Bedford Town x Merthyr Town
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Bedford Town
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bedford Town x Merthyr Town
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Bedford Town and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Bedford Town.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Merthyr Town.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bedford Town x Merthyr Town
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

Bedford Town