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Home ยป Predictions ยป Beira Mar x SC Coimbroes Betting tips for September 29 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 11h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Beira Mar Beira Mar
PREDICTION Beira Mar wins Probability 80% 1 X 2
SC Coimbroes SC Coimbroes
ODD: @1.65 Don't miss this prediction!

Beira Mar x SC Coimbroes Betting tips for September 29 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Beira Mar x SC Coimbroes, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
11:00
Beira Mar Beira Mar
1.65
X
3.60
SC Coimbroes SC Coimbroes
4.40

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Beira Mar x SC Coimbroes:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Beira Mar wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Beira Mar, you can win up to $825.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Beira Mar x SC Coimbroes:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Beira Mar in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $120.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on SC Coimbroes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Beira Mar conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, SC Coimbroes conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for SC Coimbroes as away team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Beira Mar x SC Coimbroes for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Beira Mar X SC Coimbroes – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 11:00
๐Ÿ”ต Beira Mar – Winning probability: 80.38% | Fair line: 1.24
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.80% | Fair line: 7.25
๐Ÿ”ด SC Coimbroes – Winning probability: 5.83% | Fair line: 17.16
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Beira Mar
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Beira Mar x SC Coimbroes is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Beira Mar x SC Coimbroes

Is it worth betting on Beira Mar?

๐Ÿ”ต Beira Mar: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 80.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 800 times – having a profit of $520.00;
  • And would lose other 200 times – losing -$200.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$320.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $364.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$496.00.

Is betting on SC Coimbroes worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด SC Coimbroes: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $204.00
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$736.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Beira Mar x SC Coimbroes

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Beira Mar
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Beira Mar x SC Coimbroes

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Beira Mar and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Beira Mar.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Beira Mar.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Beira Mar x SC Coimbroes

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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