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Home » Predictions » Others » Belgrano x Independiente Rivadavia Betting tips for February 4 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Tuesday, 04 February 2025, 00h30 Argentina Liga Profesional
Belgrano Belgrano
PREDICTION Independiente Rivadavia Wins Probability 25% 1 X 2
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
ODD: @4 Don't miss this prediction!

Belgrano x Independiente Rivadavia Betting tips for February 4 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Belgrano x Independiente Rivadavia, Tuesday, 4/2/2025
📅 4/2/2025
00:30
Belgrano Belgrano
1.95
X
3.20
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
4.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Belgrano x Independiente Rivadavia:

🔮 Independiente Rivadavia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Independiente Rivadavia, you can win up to $2000.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Belgrano x Independiente Rivadavia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Belgrano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-250.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Rivadavia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $695.0.
👉 Independiente Rivadavia did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Independiente Rivadavia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Independiente Rivadavia matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Belgrano x Independiente Rivadavia, with Belgrano as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Independiente Rivadavia is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Belgrano x Independiente Rivadavia for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 4 of February

🏟️ Belgrano X Independiente Rivadavia – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 4 of February, 2025 – 00:30
🔵 Belgrano – Winning probability: 51.53% | Fair line: 1.94
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.79% | Fair line: 4.39
🔴 Independiente Rivadavia – Winning probability: 25.68% | Fair line: 3.89
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Belgrano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Belgrano x Independiente Rivadavia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1256513 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Belgrano x Independiente Rivadavia

Is it a good idea to bet on Belgrano?

🔵 Belgrano: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 520 times – profiting $494.00;
  • And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$14.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $506.00
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$264.00.

Is betting on Independiente Rivadavia worth it?

🔴 Independiente Rivadavia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $780.00
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$40.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Belgrano x Independiente Rivadavia

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Belgrano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Belgrano x Independiente Rivadavia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Belgrano and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Belgrano.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Independiente Rivadavia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Belgrano x Independiente Rivadavia

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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