Belgrano x Real Pilar Betting tips for April 17 in Argentina Cup

Our betting tip for Belgrano x Real Pilar, Thursday, 17/4/2025

📅 17/4/2025 00:10

Belgrano 1.54

X 3.80

Real Pilar 5.75

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Belgrano x Real Pilar:

🔮 Belgrano wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Belgrano, you can win up to $770.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Belgrano x Real Pilar: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Belgrano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-100.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Pilar in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Belgrano scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Belgrano conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Real Pilar has not lost any of them.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Belgrano x Real Pilar?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Belgrano x Real Pilar:

Analysis from Belgrano x Real Pilar for the Argentina Cup – 17 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Belgrano x Real Pilar right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1305181 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Belgrano x Real Pilar

Is it worth betting on Belgrano?

🔵 Belgrano: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 79.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.54. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 800 times – having a profit of $432.00;
• And would have lost other 200 times – with a loss of -$200.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$232.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $308.00
• And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$582.00.

Should you bet on Real Pilar?

🔴 Real Pilar: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $475.00
• And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$425.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Belgrano x Real Pilar

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Belgrano
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Belgrano x Real Pilar

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Belgrano and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Belgrano.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Belgrano x Real Pilar

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.