Berazategui x Puerto Nuevo Betting tips for April 12 in Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
| 📅 12/4/2025 18:30 |
 Berazategui2.20 |
X 2.90 |
Puerto Nuevo  3.19 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Berazategui x Puerto Nuevo:
🔮 Berazategui wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Berazategui, you can win up to $1100.00!
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The main points for the tip for Berazategui x Puerto Nuevo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Berazategui in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-360.0. |
Looking for another bookie to bet on Berazategui x Puerto Nuevo?
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Analysis from Berazategui x Puerto Nuevo for the Argentina Primera C Metropolitana – 12 of April
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🏟️ Berazategui X Puerto Nuevo – Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Berazategui and Puerto Nuevo.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1301554 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Berazategui x Puerto Nuevo
Is betting on Berazategui worth it?
🔵 Berazategui: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $576.00
- And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$56.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 310 times – profiting $589.00;
- And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$101.00.
Should you bet on Puerto Nuevo?
🔴 Puerto Nuevo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.19. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $459.90
- And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$330.10.
Handicaps analysis for the match Berazategui x Puerto Nuevo
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Berazategui
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Berazategui x Puerto Nuevo
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Berazategui and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Berazategui.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Berazategui x Puerto Nuevo
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.
