Berceo x Yagüe Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 16

Our betting tip for Berceo x Yagüe, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 07:00

Berceo 1.52

X 3.75

Yagüe 5.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Berceo x Yagüe:

🔮 Berceo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Berceo, you can win up to $760.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Berceo x Yagüe: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Yagüe in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Berceo scored at least 3 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Yagüe scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Berceo matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Yagüe conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Berceo conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Yagüe. 👉 Berceo is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Even as a visitor, Yagüe won the last 3 head-to-head matches Berceo´s territory

Looking for another bookie to bet on Berceo x Yagüe?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Berceo x Yagüe, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Berceo x Yagüe for the Spain Tercera Group 16 – 29 of September

When the best bet on Berceo x Yagüe is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Berceo x Yagüe

Should you bet on Berceo?

🔵 Berceo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 75.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.52. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 760 times – profiting $395.20;
• And would lose other 240 times – having a loss of -$240.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$155.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $440.00;
• And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$400.00.

Should you bet on Yagüe?

🔴 Yagüe: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $320.00
• And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$600.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Berceo x Yagüe

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Berceo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Berceo x Yagüe

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Berceo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Berceo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Berceo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Berceo x Yagüe

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.