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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Bergantinos x Deportivo Fabril Betting tips for November 24 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
Sunday, 24 November 2024, 16h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
Bergantinos Bergantinos
PREDICTION No tip
Deportivo Fabril Deportivo Fabril
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Bergantinos x Deportivo Fabril Betting tips for November 24 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for Bergantinos x Deportivo Fabril, Sunday, 24/11/2024
πŸ“… 24/11/2024
16:00
Bergantinos Bergantinos
2.26
X
3.02
Deportivo Fabril Deportivo Fabril
2.88

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Bergantinos x Deportivo Fabril:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Bergantinos x Deportivo Fabril

The main points for the tip for Bergantinos x Deportivo Fabril:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bergantinos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Fabril in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $270.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Deportivo Fabril, Bergantinos scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Bergantinos matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Bergantinos x Deportivo Fabril, with Bergantinos as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Bergantinos conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Bergantinos conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Deportivo Fabril.

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Summary

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Analysis from Bergantinos x Deportivo Fabril for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 – 24 of November

🏟️ Bergantinos X Deportivo Fabril – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
πŸ“… 24 of November, 2024 – 16:00
πŸ”΅ Bergantinos – Winning probability: 39.41% | Fair line: 2.54
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.66% | Fair line: 3.26
πŸ”΄ Deportivo Fabril – Winning probability: 29.92% | Fair line: 3.34
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Bergantinos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bergantinos x Deportivo Fabril right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1226284 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bergantinos x Deportivo Fabril

Should you bet on Bergantinos?

πŸ”΅ Bergantinos: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.26. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $491.40;
  • And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$118.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.02. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $626.20;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$63.80.

Is it worth betting on Deportivo Fabril?

πŸ”΄ Deportivo Fabril: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $564.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$136.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bergantinos x Deportivo Fabril

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Bergantinos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bergantinos x Deportivo Fabril

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Bergantinos and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Bergantinos.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Deportivo Fabril.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bergantinos x Deportivo Fabril

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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