Bergantinos x UD Llanera Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
| 📅 29/9/2024 12:00 |
 Bergantinos1.90 |
X 3.20 |
UD Llanera  3.62 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Bergantinos x UD Llanera:
🔮 Bergantinos wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bergantinos, you can win up to $950.00!
|
The main points for the tip for Bergantinos x UD Llanera: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bergantinos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-38.0. |
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Bergantinos x UD Llanera?
Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2024, you just have to click and bet:
Analysis from Bergantinos x UD Llanera for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 – 29 of September
|
🏟️ Bergantinos X UD Llanera – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bergantinos x UD Llanera right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Bergantinos x UD Llanera
Is betting on Bergantinos worth it?
🔵 Bergantinos: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 57.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 570 times – this would give you a profit of $513.00
- And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$83.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $528.00;
- And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$232.00.
Is it worth betting on UD Llanera?
🔴 UD Llanera: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $471.60
- And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$348.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Bergantinos x UD Llanera
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Bergantinos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bergantinos x UD Llanera
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Bergantinos, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Bergantinos.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 UD Llanera.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bergantinos x UD Llanera
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
