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Home » Predictions » Others » Bergnäsets AIK x IFK Östersund Betting tips for September 29 in Sweden 2.div Norrland
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 10h00 Sweden 2.div Norrland
Bergnäsets AIK Bergnäsets AIK
PREDICTION No tip
IFK Östersund IFK Östersund
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Bergnäsets AIK x IFK Östersund Betting tips for September 29 in Sweden 2.div Norrland

Our betting tip for Bergnäsets AIK x IFK Östersund, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
10:00
Bergnäsets AIK Bergnäsets AIK
2.26
X
3.70
IFK Östersund IFK Östersund
2.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Bergnäsets AIK x IFK Östersund:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Bergnäsets AIK x IFK Östersund

Some important points for the tip for Bergnäsets AIK x IFK Östersund:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bergnäsets AIK in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-138.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on IFK Östersund in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-218.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, IFK Östersund scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Bergnäsets AIK matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Bergnäsets AIK x IFK Östersund, with Bergnäsets AIK as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Bergnäsets AIK conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, IFK Östersund conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Bergnäsets AIK conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against IFK Östersund.

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Summary

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Analysis from Bergnäsets AIK x IFK Östersund for the Sweden 2.div Norrland – 29 of September

🏟️ Bergnäsets AIK X IFK Östersund – Sweden 2.div Norrland
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 10:00
🔵 Bergnäsets AIK – Winning probability: 41.87% | Fair line: 2.39
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.05% | Fair line: 4.16
🔴 IFK Östersund – Winning probability: 34.07% | Fair line: 2.93
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Bergnäsets AIK
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Bergnäsets AIK and IFK Östersund.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bergnäsets AIK x IFK Östersund

Is it worth betting on Bergnäsets AIK?

🔵 Bergnäsets AIK: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.26. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $529.20;
  • And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$50.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $648.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$112.00.

Is it worth betting on IFK Östersund?

🔴 IFK Östersund: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $510.00
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$150.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bergnäsets AIK x IFK Östersund

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Bergnäsets AIK
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bergnäsets AIK x IFK Östersund

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Bergnäsets AIK and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Bergnäsets AIK.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 IFK Östersund.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bergnäsets AIK x IFK Östersund

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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