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Home » Predictions » Others » Besiktas x Istanbul Basaksehir Betting tips for April 12 in Türkiye Super Lig
Saturday, 12 April 2025, 16h00 Türkiye Super Lig
Besiktas Besiktas
PREDICTION Besiktas wins Probability 53% 1 X 2
Istanbul Basaksehir Istanbul Basaksehir
ODD: @1.8 Don't miss this prediction!

Besiktas x Istanbul Basaksehir Betting tips for April 12 in Türkiye Super Lig

Our betting tip for Besiktas x Istanbul Basaksehir, Saturday, 12/4/2025
📅 12/4/2025
16:00
Besiktas Besiktas
1.80
X
3.67
Istanbul Basaksehir Istanbul Basaksehir
4.18

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Besiktas x Istanbul Basaksehir:

🔮 Besiktas wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Besiktas, you can win up to $900.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Besiktas x Istanbul Basaksehir:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Besiktas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $135.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Istanbul Basaksehir in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-250.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Besiktas scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Besiktas matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Besiktas conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Besiktas x Istanbul Basaksehir for the Türkiye Super Lig – 12 of April

🏟️ Besiktas X Istanbul Basaksehir – Türkiye Super Lig
📅 12 of April, 2025 – 16:00
🔵 Besiktas – Winning probability: 53.61% | Fair line: 1.87
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.59% | Fair line: 3.76
🔴 Istanbul Basaksehir – Winning probability: 19.80% | Fair line: 5.05
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Besiktas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Besiktas and Istanbul Basaksehir.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1301554 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Besiktas x Istanbul Basaksehir

Is it a good idea to bet on Besiktas?

🔵 Besiktas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $432.00;
  • And would have lost other 460 times – with a loss of -$460.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$28.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.67. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $720.90
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$9.10.

Should you bet on Istanbul Basaksehir?

🔴 Istanbul Basaksehir: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.18. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $636.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$164.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Besiktas x Istanbul Basaksehir

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Besiktas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Besiktas x Istanbul Basaksehir

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Besiktas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Besiktas.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Besiktas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Besiktas x Istanbul Basaksehir

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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