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Home » Predictions » Others » Besiktas x Kirklarelispor Betting tips for February 4 in Türkiye Cup
Tuesday, 04 February 2025, 17h30 Türkiye Cup
Besiktas Besiktas
PREDICTION Besiktas wins Probability 87% 1 X 2
Kirklarelispor Kirklarelispor
ODD: @1.27 Don't miss this prediction!

Besiktas x Kirklarelispor Betting tips for February 4 in Türkiye Cup

Our betting tip for Besiktas x Kirklarelispor, Tuesday, 4/2/2025
📅 4/2/2025
17:30
Besiktas Besiktas
1.27
X
5.50
Kirklarelispor Kirklarelispor
8.43

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Besiktas x Kirklarelispor:

🔮 Besiktas wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Besiktas, you can win up to $635.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Besiktas x Kirklarelispor:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Besiktas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $435.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Kirklarelispor in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-338.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Kirklarelispor scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Besiktas x Kirklarelispor for the Türkiye Cup – 4 of February

🏟️ Besiktas X Kirklarelispor – Türkiye Cup
📅 4 of February, 2025 – 17:30
🔵 Besiktas – Winning probability: 87.33% | Fair line: 1.15
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 5.14% | Fair line: 19.44
🔴 Kirklarelispor – Winning probability: 7.52% | Fair line: 13.29
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Besiktas
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Besiktas x Kirklarelispor right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1256585 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Besiktas x Kirklarelispor

Is it worth betting on Besiktas?

🔵 Besiktas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 87.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.27. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 870 times – having a profit of $234.90;
  • And would lose other 130 times – losing -$130.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$104.90.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $225.00;
  • And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$725.00.

Should you bet on Kirklarelispor?

🔴 Kirklarelispor: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.43. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $594.40;
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$325.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Besiktas x Kirklarelispor

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Besiktas
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Besiktas x Kirklarelispor

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Besiktas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.75 Besiktas.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.75 Kirklarelispor.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Besiktas x Kirklarelispor

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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