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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Betanzos x UD Ourense Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 1
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 12h30 Spain Tercera Group 1
Betanzos Betanzos
PREDICTION No tip
UD Ourense UD Ourense
Don't miss this prediction!

Betanzos x UD Ourense Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 1

Our betting tip for Betanzos x UD Ourense, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
12:30
Betanzos Betanzos
2.85
X
3.10
UD Ourense UD Ourense
2.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Betanzos x UD Ourense:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Betanzos x UD Ourense

The main points for the tip for Betanzos x UD Ourense:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on UD Ourense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-110.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, UD Ourense scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, UD Ourense conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Betanzos x UD Ourense for the Spain Tercera Group 1 – 29 of September

🏟️ Betanzos X UD Ourense – Spain Tercera Group 1
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 12:30
πŸ”΅ Betanzos – Winning probability: 25.07% | Fair line: 3.99
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.30% | Fair line: 3.19
πŸ”΄ UD Ourense – Winning probability: 43.63% | Fair line: 2.29
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Betanzos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Betanzos x UD Ourense is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Betanzos x UD Ourense

Should you bet on Betanzos?

πŸ”΅ Betanzos: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $462.50
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$287.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $651.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$39.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on UD Ourense?

πŸ”΄ UD Ourense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $572.00
  • And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$12.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Betanzos x UD Ourense

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Betanzos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Betanzos x UD Ourense

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Betanzos and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Betanzos.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Betanzos x UD Ourense

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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