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22/1/2022 12:00 |
 BG Pathum United1.51 |
X 3.70 |
Nong Bua Pitchaya  5.75 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for BG Pathum United x Nong Bua Pitchaya:
๐ฎ BG Pathum United wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on BG Pathum United, you can win up to $755.00!
๐ Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for BG Pathum United x Nong Bua Pitchaya
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on BG Pathum United x Nong Bua Pitchaya?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best bookies from 2022, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on BG Pathum United x Nong Bua Pitchaya:
Analysis from BG Pathum United x Nong Bua Pitchaya for the Thailand Premier League – 22 of January
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๐๏ธ BG Pathum United X Nong Bua Pitchaya – Thailand Premier League |
When the best bet on BG Pathum United x Nong Bua Pitchaya is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 290605 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for BG Pathum United x Nong Bua Pitchaya
Is betting on BG Pathum United worth it?
๐ต BG Pathum United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 73.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.51. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 730 times – profiting $372.30;
- And would have lost other 270 times – with a loss of -$270.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$102.30.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $378.00
- And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$482.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Nong Bua Pitchaya?
๐ด Nong Bua Pitchaya: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 130 times – profiting $617.50;
- And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$252.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match BG Pathum United x Nong Bua Pitchaya
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 BG Pathum United
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for BG Pathum United x Nong Bua Pitchaya
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 BG Pathum United and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 BG Pathum United.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Nong Bua Pitchaya.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for BG Pathum United x Nong Bua Pitchaya
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
