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BG Pathum United x Port FC Betting tips for January 19 in Thailand Cup

Our betting tip for BG Pathum United x Port FC, Wednesday, 19/1/2022
๐Ÿ“… 19/1/2022
12:00
BG Pathum United
2.00
X
3.70
Port FC
2.90

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for BG Pathum United x Port FC:

๐Ÿ”ฎ BG Pathum United wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on BG Pathum United, you can win up to $1000.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for BG Pathum United x Port FC

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on BG Pathum United x Port FC?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best bookies from 2022, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on BG Pathum United x Port FC:

Analysis from BG Pathum United x Port FC for the Thailand Cup – 19 of January

๐ŸŸ๏ธ BG Pathum United X Port FC – Thailand Cup
๐Ÿ“… 19 of January, 2022 – 12:00
๐Ÿ”ต BG Pathum United – Winning probability: 64.01% | Fair line: 1.56
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 2.96% | Fair line: 33.78
๐Ÿ”ด Port FC – Winning probability: 33.03% | Fair line: 3.03
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 BG Pathum United
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between BG Pathum United and Port FC.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 289741 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for BG Pathum United x Port FC

Is it a good idea to bet on BG Pathum United?

๐Ÿ”ต BG Pathum United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 64.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 640 times – having a profit of $640.00;
  • And would lose other 360 times – having a loss of -$360.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$280.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $81.00
  • And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$889.00.

Is betting on Port FC worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Port FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $627.00;
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$43.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match BG Pathum United x Port FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 BG Pathum United
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for BG Pathum United x Port FC

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 BG Pathum United, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 BG Pathum United.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 BG Pathum United.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for BG Pathum United x Port FC

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Follow our tips on YouTube too

Besides the artificial intelligence that you have here, our sporting bets experts are on YouTube searching for the best bets for Wednesday. Right above you can check our last analysis and be a part of the community by subscribing on our betting tips channel on YouTube.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves