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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Binissalem x Manacor Betting tips for January 11 in Spain Tercera Group 11
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 15h30 Spain Tercera Group 11
Binissalem Binissalem
PREDICTION No tip
Manacor Manacor
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Binissalem x Manacor Betting tips for January 11 in Spain Tercera Group 11

Our betting tip for Binissalem x Manacor, Saturday, 11/1/2025
πŸ“… 11/1/2025
15:30
Binissalem Binissalem
2.55
X
3.10
Manacor Manacor
2.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Binissalem x Manacor:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Binissalem x Manacor

The main points for the tip for Binissalem x Manacor:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Binissalem in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $368.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Binissalem scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Binissalem conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Binissalem conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Manacor.

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Summary

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Analysis from Binissalem x Manacor for the Spain Tercera Group 11 – 11 of January

🏟️ Binissalem X Manacor – Spain Tercera Group 11
πŸ“… 11 of January, 2025 – 15:30
πŸ”΅ Binissalem – Winning probability: 31.01% | Fair line: 3.22
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.43% | Fair line: 3.18
πŸ”΄ Manacor – Winning probability: 37.56% | Fair line: 2.66
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Binissalem
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Binissalem x Manacor right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244516 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Binissalem x Manacor

Is it worth betting on Binissalem?

πŸ”΅ Binissalem: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $480.50;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$209.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $651.00;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$39.00.

Is it worth betting on Manacor?

πŸ”΄ Manacor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $570.00
  • And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$50.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Binissalem x Manacor

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Binissalem
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Binissalem x Manacor

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Binissalem, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Binissalem.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Manacor.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Binissalem x Manacor

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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