Birkenhead United x Auckland City Betting tips for December 1 in New Zealand Football Championship

Our betting tip for Birkenhead United x Auckland City, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 03:00

Birkenhead United 3.88

X 4.00

Auckland City 1.62

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Birkenhead United x Auckland City:

🔮 Auckland City wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Auckland City, you can win up to $810.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Birkenhead United x Auckland City: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Birkenhead United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $10.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Auckland City in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $226.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Birkenhead United scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Auckland City scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Birkenhead United matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Birkenhead United conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Birkenhead United conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Auckland City. 👉 Birkenhead United is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Auckland City is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 4 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Analysis from Birkenhead United x Auckland City for the New Zealand Football Championship – 1 of December

When the best bet on Birkenhead United x Auckland City is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230061 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Birkenhead United x Auckland City

Should you bet on Birkenhead United?

🔵 Birkenhead United: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $460.80
• And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$379.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $660.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$120.00.

Is betting on Auckland City worth it?

🔴 Auckland City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 62.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 620 times – profiting $384.40;
• And would lose other 380 times – having a loss of -$380.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$4.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Birkenhead United x Auckland City

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Birkenhead United
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Birkenhead United x Auckland City

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Birkenhead United and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Birkenhead United.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Birkenhead United.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Birkenhead United x Auckland City

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.