Birkirkara x Balzan FC Betting tips for January 6 in Malta Premier League

Our betting tip for Birkirkara x Balzan FC, Monday, 6/1/2025

📅 6/1/2025 18:00

Birkirkara 1.81

X 3.42

Balzan FC 4.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Birkirkara x Balzan FC:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1710.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Birkirkara x Balzan FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Birkirkara in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-330.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Balzan FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 Birkirkara matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Birkirkara conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Balzan FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Birkirkara conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Balzan FC. 👉 It is not a good time for Balzan FC as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Birkirkara x Balzan FC?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Birkirkara x Balzan FC:

Analysis from Birkirkara x Balzan FC for the Malta Premier League – 6 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Birkirkara x Balzan FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1242357 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Birkirkara x Balzan FC

Should you bet on Birkirkara?

🔵 Birkirkara: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.81. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $396.90;
• And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$113.10.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $774.40;
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$94.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Balzan FC?

🔴 Balzan FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $570.00
• And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$240.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Birkirkara x Balzan FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Birkirkara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Birkirkara x Balzan FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Birkirkara, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Birkirkara.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Balzan FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Birkirkara x Balzan FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.