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Home » Predictions » Others » Birmingham x Lincoln City Betting tips for January 11 in England FA Cup
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 12h00 England FA Cup
Birmingham Birmingham
PREDICTION Birmingham wins Probability 73% 1 X 2
Lincoln City Lincoln City
ODD: @1.62 Don't miss this prediction!

Birmingham x Lincoln City Betting tips for January 11 in England FA Cup

Our betting tip for Birmingham x Lincoln City, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
12:00
Birmingham Birmingham
1.62
X
4.25
Lincoln City Lincoln City
4.80

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Birmingham x Lincoln City:

🔮 Birmingham wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Birmingham, you can win up to $810.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Birmingham x Lincoln City:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Birmingham in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-101.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lincoln City in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-343.0.
👉 Birmingham did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 5 Birmingham matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Lincoln City conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Birmingham is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 6 home matches, it had at least 64.00% of possession.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Birmingham x Lincoln City?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Birmingham x Lincoln City, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Birmingham x Lincoln City for the England FA Cup – 11 of January

🏟️ Birmingham X Lincoln City – England FA Cup
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 12:00
🔵 Birmingham – Winning probability: 73.17% | Fair line: 1.37
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.18% | Fair line: 9.82
🔴 Lincoln City – Winning probability: 16.65% | Fair line: 6.01
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Birmingham
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Birmingham and Lincoln City.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244516 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Birmingham x Lincoln City

Is betting on Birmingham worth it?

🔵 Birmingham: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 73.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 730 times – profiting $452.60;
  • And would lose other 270 times – losing -$270.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$182.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $325.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$575.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Lincoln City?

🔴 Lincoln City: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $646.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$184.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Birmingham x Lincoln City

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Birmingham
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Birmingham x Lincoln City

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Birmingham and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Birmingham. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Birmingham x Lincoln City

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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