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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป BK Hacken x Sirius Betting tips for September 29 in Sweden Allsvenskan
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 11h30 Sweden Allsvenskan
BK Hacken BK Hacken
PREDICTION BK Hacken wins Probability 63% 1 X 2
Sirius Sirius
ODD: @1.68 Don't miss this prediction!

BK Hacken x Sirius Betting tips for September 29 in Sweden Allsvenskan

Our betting tip for BK Hacken x Sirius, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
11:30
BK Hacken BK Hacken
1.68
X
4.00
Sirius Sirius
4.33

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for BK Hacken x Sirius:

๐Ÿ”ฎ BK Hacken wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on BK Hacken, you can win up to $840.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for BK Hacken x Sirius:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on BK Hacken in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-395.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sirius in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $1167.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, BK Hacken scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Sirius scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Sirius, BK Hacken scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between BK Hacken x Sirius, with BK Hacken as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, BK Hacken conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Sirius conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, BK Hacken conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Sirius.
๐Ÿ‘‰ BK Hacken is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 home matches, it had at least 65.00% of possession.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 road matches, Sirius has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from BK Hacken x Sirius for the Sweden Allsvenskan – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ BK Hacken X Sirius – Sweden Allsvenskan
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 11:30
๐Ÿ”ต BK Hacken – Winning probability: 63.28% | Fair line: 1.58
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.52% | Fair line: 5.12
๐Ÿ”ด Sirius – Winning probability: 17.20% | Fair line: 5.82
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 BK Hacken
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for BK Hacken x Sirius right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for BK Hacken x Sirius

Is it worth betting on BK Hacken?

๐Ÿ”ต BK Hacken: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 63.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.68. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 630 times – having a profit of $428.40;
  • And would lose other 370 times – having a loss of -$370.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$58.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $600.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$200.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sirius?

๐Ÿ”ด Sirius: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $566.10;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$263.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match BK Hacken x Sirius

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 BK Hacken
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for BK Hacken x Sirius

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 BK Hacken and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 BK Hacken.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for BK Hacken x Sirius

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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