Blackpool x Lincoln City Betting tips for October 1 in England League 1

Our betting tip for Blackpool x Lincoln City, Tuesday, 1/10/2024

📅 1/10/2024 15:45

Blackpool 1.85

X 3.50

Lincoln City 4.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Blackpool x Lincoln City:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Blackpool x Lincoln City

Important information for your tip for Blackpool x Lincoln City: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Blackpool in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-61.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lincoln City in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $406.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Lincoln City scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Lincoln City, Blackpool scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Lincoln City matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 9 road matches, Lincoln City has not lost any of them.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Blackpool x Lincoln City?

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Analysis from Blackpool x Lincoln City for the England League 1 – 1 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Blackpool x Lincoln City right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1192611 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Blackpool x Lincoln City

Is betting on Blackpool worth it?

🔵 Blackpool: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 52.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 530 times – profiting $450.50;
• And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$19.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $725.00;
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$15.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on Lincoln City?

🔴 Lincoln City: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – profiting $570.00;
• And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$240.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Blackpool x Lincoln City

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Blackpool
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Blackpool x Lincoln City

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Blackpool and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Blackpool. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Blackpool x Lincoln City

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.