Blaublitz Akita x Tokyo Verdy Betting tips for April 16 in Japan J-League Cup

Our betting tip for Blaublitz Akita x Tokyo Verdy, Wednesday, 16/4/2025

📅 16/4/2025
10:00

Blaublitz Akita
3.28

X
3.18

Tokyo Verdy

2.11

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Blaublitz Akita x Tokyo Verdy:

🔮 Tokyo Verdy wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tokyo Verdy, you can win up to $1055.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Blaublitz Akita x Tokyo Verdy:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Blaublitz Akita in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-55.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Tokyo Verdy in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-50.0.
👉 Tokyo Verdy did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 Tokyo Verdy did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Blaublitz Akita scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Tokyo Verdy matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Blaublitz Akita conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Tokyo Verdy.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Tokyo Verdy has not lost any of them.

Summary

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Analysis from Blaublitz Akita x Tokyo Verdy for the Japan J-League Cup – 16 of April

🏟️ Blaublitz Akita X Tokyo Verdy – Japan J-League Cup
📅 16 of April, 2025 – 10:00
🔵 Blaublitz Akita – Winning probability: 20.19% | Fair line: 4.95
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.16% | Fair line: 5.83
🔴 Tokyo Verdy – Winning probability: 62.64% | Fair line: 1.6
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Blaublitz Akita
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Blaublitz Akita x Tokyo Verdy right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1304980 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Blaublitz Akita x Tokyo Verdy

Is it worth betting on Blaublitz Akita?

🔵 Blaublitz Akita: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $456.00
And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$344.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.18. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $370.60;
And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$459.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Tokyo Verdy?

🔴 Tokyo Verdy: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 62.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.11. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 630 times – this would give you a profit of $699.30
And would lose other 370 times – losing -$370.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$329.30.

Handicaps analysis for the match Blaublitz Akita x Tokyo Verdy

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Blaublitz Akita
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Blaublitz Akita x Tokyo Verdy

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Blaublitz Akita, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Blaublitz Akita. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Blaublitz Akita x Tokyo Verdy

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.